Big Tech's AI Spending Binge: A Recipe for Success or a Bubble Waiting to Burst?
In a major show of confidence in the power of artificial intelligence, three US tech giants - Microsoft, Meta, and Google - have just reported record profits and infrastructure spending on AI that has left investors wondering if the market is about to get bubble-prone.
Microsoft's capital expenditures, which will be nearly $5 billion more than previously forecasted, reached a staggering $34.9 billion in the quarter ending on September 30, with most of it going toward AI infrastructure. The company expects its total spend to "increase sequentially" and for fiscal year 2026 growth rate to be higher than fiscal year 2025.
Meta, meanwhile, has ramped up its capital expenditures to a record $70 billion to $72 billion this year, up from its previous forecast of $66 billion to $72 billion. The social media giant's soaring investment matches its soaring revenue: Meta reported a whopping $51.24 billion in revenue last quarter, up 26 percent year over year.
Google, which is owned by Alphabet Inc., has taken the lead with AI spending, reporting capital expenditures of between $91 billion and $93 billion for next year, significantly higher than its previous forecast of $75 billion. The tech giant's revenue jumped to a record $102.3 billion in the third quarter, up 33 percent from the same period last year.
While these big-ticket investments seem like a bold move, some analysts are warning that the AI market might be heading for a bubble burst. "There's a range of timelines for when people think that we're going to get superintelligence," said Mark Zuckerberg, Meta's CEO. "I think it's the right strategy to aggressively front-load building capacity, so that way we're prepared for the most optimistic cases."
However, experts like Mark Moerdler, a senior research analyst covering global software at Bernstein, are more cautious about the long-term prospects of these investments. He says that Microsoft is "building capacity in tranches over time and can shift resources, which gives them a lot of protection." But he also warns: "Is there an overall AI bubble? It's possible, and that they did not answer."
The market is indeed eager to see if Meta, Google, and Microsoft can deliver on their promises. With the AI industry expected to continue growing exponentially in the coming years, these investments could either be a masterstroke or a catastrophic mistake.
				
			In a major show of confidence in the power of artificial intelligence, three US tech giants - Microsoft, Meta, and Google - have just reported record profits and infrastructure spending on AI that has left investors wondering if the market is about to get bubble-prone.
Microsoft's capital expenditures, which will be nearly $5 billion more than previously forecasted, reached a staggering $34.9 billion in the quarter ending on September 30, with most of it going toward AI infrastructure. The company expects its total spend to "increase sequentially" and for fiscal year 2026 growth rate to be higher than fiscal year 2025.
Meta, meanwhile, has ramped up its capital expenditures to a record $70 billion to $72 billion this year, up from its previous forecast of $66 billion to $72 billion. The social media giant's soaring investment matches its soaring revenue: Meta reported a whopping $51.24 billion in revenue last quarter, up 26 percent year over year.
Google, which is owned by Alphabet Inc., has taken the lead with AI spending, reporting capital expenditures of between $91 billion and $93 billion for next year, significantly higher than its previous forecast of $75 billion. The tech giant's revenue jumped to a record $102.3 billion in the third quarter, up 33 percent from the same period last year.
While these big-ticket investments seem like a bold move, some analysts are warning that the AI market might be heading for a bubble burst. "There's a range of timelines for when people think that we're going to get superintelligence," said Mark Zuckerberg, Meta's CEO. "I think it's the right strategy to aggressively front-load building capacity, so that way we're prepared for the most optimistic cases."
However, experts like Mark Moerdler, a senior research analyst covering global software at Bernstein, are more cautious about the long-term prospects of these investments. He says that Microsoft is "building capacity in tranches over time and can shift resources, which gives them a lot of protection." But he also warns: "Is there an overall AI bubble? It's possible, and that they did not answer."
The market is indeed eager to see if Meta, Google, and Microsoft can deliver on their promises. With the AI industry expected to continue growing exponentially in the coming years, these investments could either be a masterstroke or a catastrophic mistake.